Mumbai: At 253 mm, the Observatory of Santacruz Department of Meteorology India recorded the highest 24-hour rainfall for July in a decade between July 15 and 16 (8:30 am 8 am).
Previously, between July 1 and 2, 2019, the Observatory of Santacruz has reported 375.2 mm rainfall, which is rain throughout the highest day throughout the day in the last ten years.
Rain was recorded by the Santacruz Observatory falling in a very heavy category, according to the classification of the IMD.
However, there is no very heavy rain warning, and experts say it is because it is a local phenomenon, with rain only limited to the northern suburbs of Mumbai.
Observatory Colais recorded 12.8 mm rainfall.
After heavy rain and early days, IMD, which also gave a yellow warning for Mumbai for July 16, continued to increase it to orange, showed weight until the rain was very heavy in isolated places.
Dr.
Jayanta Sarkar, Scientists and Heads, IMD Mumbai, provide estimates for the next five days, said, “For Friday we have given orange warnings (heavy to heavy rain), while for Saturday, the yellow warning has been issued for Mumbai.” Rainfall data shows that the rain began to rise from 2:30 a.m.
on Friday, with maximum rainfall recorded in the window between 5.30am and 8.30 am more than 150 mm.
With heavy rain last night, July so far recorded 583 mm rainfall, making it 70% of the average monthly rainfall, i.e., 827.5 mm.
Meanwhile, the total rainfall recorded so far for this season also 70% of the July rain average.
However, in 12 hours it ended 8.30pm on Friday, however, the Observatory IMD Santacruz recorded a light rain of 15.7 mm and Colaba Observatory recorded 4.8 mm.
Officials at Private Forecasting Agencies Skymet connects heavy rain with the fact that the rainy season surge is very strong.
“The weather can’t really dry, even though the surge will weaken over the weekend.
While the massive 253 mm rainfall is not anticipated, the condition seems to have been conducive to it.
We hope the next heavy mantra around July 21, with a low pressure area tends to be formed Above the West Bay Bengala and the environment around the period, “said Mahesh Palawat, Vice President, Meteorology and Climate Change in Skymet.
Some experts say the current operational weather model will not be able to estimate an event like this.
Akshay Deoras, an independent meteorologist who is a PhD student in the Ministry of Meteorology, the University of Reading, England, said that large-scale weather conditions were not profitable for heavy rainfall, widespread, and sustainable.
He said a strong storm was triggered on the outskirts early in the morning and when it was due, the wind from the east pushed it away from the city, producing very little rainfall above Colaba and South Mumbai.
“Lightning storms like that are more common in June before the rainy season arrived.
There may be many factors responsible for the formation of storms alone in the suburbs, but the role of the mountain (in the suburbs of the city, namely the Sanjay Gandhi National Park), cannot be ruled out.
While the weather model can predict large-scale rainfall events, they have limitations in simulating localized and temporary rainfall events, “Deoras said.