Ludhiana: About 75% of Ludhiana’s population is likely to be infected with Covid in the third wave, declaring a Christian medical college and hospital findings.
The CMCH preventive and social treatment department makes projections based on available data.
The projection shows that the third wave peak is expected between January last week and February the first week.
A doctor, who was involved in mathematical calculations, said, “From more than 40 district Lakh populations, around 30 lakh people are expected to be infected.
This will include asymptomatic and symptomatic cases.
About 55% of them might be infected with Omicron and 45% with Delta .
“In this wave so far, the highest number of cases in Ludhiana has more than 1,800 a day.
The figure may be around 6,000 as, according to new guidelines, asymptomatic patients should not be tested for Covid.
Mathematical models based on the latest data show that the third wave peak It might come between January 26 and February 6, after that the cases tended to fall.
There is always a possible reinfection, especially among those who are infected with Omicron, “said the expert.
The baseline showed a wave of cases before the summit for Ludhiana was around 130, he added.
Meanwhile, a specialist at CMC said people must be careful.
“People must understand that it is not an ordinary flu and it causes fatigue, between other symptoms.
Also, there is a high risk of heart attack and stroke post covid (length covid) in many people, which is a post-recovery complication.
So besides following the norm.
Covid norms, people need to be vaccinated, especially high-risk populations.
Also, teenagers between 15-18 years must be vaccinated, “said Dr.
Clarence Samuel, Head of Preventive and Social Medicine Department.
Doctor CMC said, “Data from South Africa shows that the Omicron virus affects those below six years and over 60 years.
The severity of the wave will depend on how people follow the Covid rules.” The highest number of cases was reported on September 16, 2020, (562 ) In the first wave and on May 9, 2021, (1,729) in the second wave.
In the third wave to date, January 14 saw a maximum case (1,808).
The highest active case during the first wave on August 22, 2020, when this was recorded at 3,867.
In the second wave, this is the maximum on May 16, 2021, at 13,217.