Hyderabad: Universitas Hyderabad (UOH) Former Pro-Chanselir physicist and leading physics Dr.
Vipin Srivastava, who estimates that the third wave of Covid-19 on July 4, has now warned that there is a trend that is annoying in Covid-19 patterns throughout the country.
The Covid-19 curve, the Dr.
Vipin has been posted based on Daily Death Load (DDL), not yet advanced after July 4 but also seems worse in the past few weeks.
DDL has shifted more to positive values, which is not desirable.
In a period of 15 days – July 24 to August 7 – it was positive on 10 occasions and seven times in 10 days.
This means the third wave takes a turn for worse, even though the figure is officially reported.
Dr.
Vipin also ruled out the immunity of herds in this country so far despite seropositive around two-thirds of the population.
“The cause of concern is the appearance of ‘wild’ fluctuations in DDL since July 4.
It was found to occur every time a crossover in the scenario, which is when the number of daily deaths changes from an increasing trend to decline, or and vice versa.
However, an interesting aspect of Large fluctuations that are ongoing in DDL are that they are far more wild than before and that they do not show signs of settling even after a month, “he said.
The reason, said Dr.
Vipin, some lay in uncertainty associated with official data.
The number of deaths was corrected several times while the first wave of Covid-19 was active, but the uncertainty associated with this number seemed to increase multiply since the second wave.
This is clearly reflected in large fluctuations seen in the graph for Covid-19 death daily during the second wave.
Physicists say that when the number of new Covid-19 cases in 24 hours runs in the lakh, the number of cases recovered is also in the lakh.
And when the first was reduced to thousands, the latter also went down to thousands.
This ratio, which is called the patient’s burden (the number of new patients added for each recovered patient) in general fluctuated around 1.
The maximum value obtained by this ratio is around 2.2, and this when the number of deaths in 24 hours has increased rapidly between March 9 .
and May 6 2021 during the second wave.
“Our results show that the severity of the Covid-19 situation has spread so much that DDL is concluded from national data remains positive every day.
That is, the number of positive Covid-19 new cases in 24 hours exceeds the number of restored cases in the same 24 hours though The number of Covid-19 deaths floated around 500, “Dr.
Vipin said.