The Delta variant is considered more contagious than chickenpox, now it has pushed R-zero – the average number of people who will contract diseases from infected people – on top of one for India from 0.93 a month ago.
R value is an epidemiological tool and policy maker used to check whether cases grow faster or shrink quickly.
The reproductive factor in India is 1.01.
“This means that one person infects more than one person,” Virology Based on Vellore-based Senior Dr.
T Jacob John.
In March, when the case rose quickly rated around 1.4 but in May, when the whole case began to fall, it dropped to around 0.7.
While Rising R0 is the reason for worry, epidemiologists say they are not the red zone of a country or district just because the value of R rises.
“The combination of epidemiological factors includes the rate of infection growth, the increasing number of deaths and hospital occupancy rates explain the risk,” said the Institute of National Existing Epidemiology Dr.
Manoj Murhekar.
At least 10 countries have a higher R value than the national average of 1.01, and Delhi and Maharashtra (both at 1.01) have an inch-inch closer to match the national average.
Among the countries, Madhya Pradesh (1.31) has the highest R value in the country followed by Himachal Pradesh (1.30) and Nagaland (1.09).
Throughout India, on August 5, from eight countries reported more than a thousand cases, the amount of r higher than one in five states.
Kerala, who reported more than 20,000 cases a day, had RO 1.06.
The number is above 1 for Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh and Maharashtra too.
Covid-19 Live Updatestyet Pandemic, Risk Factors are not comparable to the value of R in each of these states.
For example, Madhya Pradesh, who has the highest R value, also reported less than 30 cases a day.
“The value of R is high because of the erratic daily number, but it does not show the risk because the percentage of people testing the positive number of people tested (test levels of test) is still low,” Murhekar said.
However, some countries have increased growth rates and report a high number of cases.
For example, in Tamil Nadu, on June 26, the country saw the steepest decline in the average number of new cases.
The average weekly case was 7.8% less that day compared to the previous week.
On August 1, the weekly average was 1,957 compared to 1,844 seven days ago on July 26.
The value of the country, which floated between 0.7 and 0.6 in the first week of June, went above 1 in the last week of July.
“But the number goes up and down.
Until we see a stable increase, we will not be able to declare it as the third wave,” Dr.
John said.
Public health otisi must monitor the level of infection in each district and ensure the right response including transmission disorders, said Bangalore-based epidemiology Dr.
Giridhara R Babu, Professor of Epidemiology of the Indian Community Health Foundation (PHIF).
R0 analysis for Covid cases throughout the state shows several broad patterns.
Data shows that the second wave, which is still strong in the Northeast of the country, is in a reduced phase.
Among the northeastern countries only Nagaland has a value of more than one of these indicators.
Among countries with more than a thousand daily cases, the value is less than one for Mizoram, Assam and Odisha.
But even in these countries, the possibility of infection and death remains high.
And with more countries open restrictions, cases tend to rise.
Among the six countries reported between 100 to 1,000 cases on August 3, the value of R0 was higher for Himachal Pradesh and Nagaland and exactly 1 for Jammu & Kashmir, Chhattisgarh and West Bengal.
Public health experts say they have to wait a few more days before they can declare the Spurt in the case of a new wave or ignore it as a blip on the chart.