New Delhi: The new and newest climate commitment falls “far short” of what is needed to fulfill the objectives of the Paris Agreement, leaving the world on track for the increase in the average global temperature of a minimum of 2.7 degrees Celsius this century compared to the pre-industrial level (1850 -1900), said the UN Environmental Program Report (UNEP), was released on Tuesday.
The report noted that the promises of “net-zero” were not clearly not enough to save the planet from the heating of the disaster.
GAP Report – Gap Emissions 2021: Light up – underlines that the promise of climate action updated by countries, which is called a nationally determined contribution (NDCs), will take an additional 7.5% predicted annual greenhouse gas emissions in 2030, Compared to the previous round of commitment.
But this is not enough because there is a need to reduce 30% to stay on the cost of the least for 2 degrees C and 55% for 1.5 degrees C.
Calculation shows that the annual GHG emissions are currently 60 GTCO2E (GIGA tons of CO2 equivalent).
“Less than one week before COP26 in Glasgow, we are still on track for the climate disaster,” UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres said, reacting to report findings.
The report noted that even though the G20 countries as groups were not on track to reach original or new 2030 promises, 10 G20 members including India would likely reach the NDC target without the original requirements in the current policy.
Besides India, a list of 10 including Argentina, China, EU27, Japan, Russian Federation, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Turkey and England.
“Among them, three members (India, Russia and Turkey) are projected to reduce their emissions to at least 15% lower than the target level of NDC emissions without their conditions below the current policy, shows that these countries have significant spaces To increase their NDC ambitions, “said the report.
Released ahead of the 26th session of the UN Climate Change Conference (COP26) in Glasgow, the report, however, found that net-zero appointments could make a big difference because it had the potential to shave extra 0.5 degrees C from global warming, bringing the temperature It is predicted to increase to 2.2 degrees C.
“If fully implemented, this promise can bring a global temperature increase which is predicted to 2.2 degrees C, giving hope that further action can still lead the greatest impact of climate change.
However, clean – Promises are still unclear, incomplete in many cases, and are not consistent with most 2030 NDCs, “said the report.
“To limit global warming to 1.5 degrees C, we have eight years to almost two greenhouse gas emissions: eight years to make a plan, place policy, implement it and finally send pieces.
The clock was beating hard,” said Eger Andersen, executive director UNEP.
In the decline in emissions during the economic slowdown in Covid-19, the report said, “Pandemic Covid-19 leads to a decrease in global CO2 emissions by 5.4% by 2020.
However, CO2 emissions and non-CO2 are expected to rise again to the only level lower than the highest record in 2019.
“At the same time expressed concern that the world has mostly missed the opportunity to use the Covid-19 economic recovery plan for climate action, by saying only about 20% of the total recovery investment until May 2021 will likely reduce GHG emissions.
This year the UNEP report also focuses on mechanisms of methane and carbon markets, by saying reducing methane emissions from fossil fuels, waste and the agricultural sector can contribute to covering emissions gaps and reducing heating in the short term.
Methane emissions are the second largest contributor to global warming.
Gas has a global warming potential of more than 80 times the carbon dioxide for 20 years of horizons; It also has a shorter lifetime in the atmosphere than carbon dioxide – only twelve years, compared to hundreds to CO2 – so that cutting to methane will limit the increase in temperature faster than cutting carbon dioxide.
In the carbon market, the report said that the market has the potential to reduce costs and thus encourage a more ambitious reduction appointment, but only if the rules are clearly defined, designed to ensure that transactions reflect the actual emission reduction, and supported by tracing settings for progress and Give transparency.
“The income obtained through these markets can fund mitigation and adaptation solutions in the country and in vulnerable countries where the biggest climate change burden,” he said.