Ludhiana: Because more Covid cases were reported in Ludhiana, a CMC discovery showed that the initial surge might have begun in Punjab and Ludhiana.
The CMCH preventive and social treatment department makes projections based on available data.
The doctor involved in the mathematical calculation said, “This case remains around and below 50-mark in Punjab for a long time.
But now everyday cases have begun to increase by around 45% to 50% and come from large districts, including Ludhiana.
It shows that a surge has begun in the state.
There is a possibility that there is an increase in the case in the coming week.
“” After the omicron variant and celebration, the mathematical projection has suggested a surge to start from January 6 but has advanced more than a week.
Now, cases increase in the country Part by 20% to 25% every day.
The first week of January will show whether everything will get worse or will take time before the peak is reached, “said the expert.” However, given the fact that Omicron has more transmission, peaks can reach in the country Section, including Ludhiana., In four to six weeks after a surge.
But the calculation shows that IT Dak like the first two peak wave-first peaks lasted from March-End to April 13 (because of the English variant) and the second peak (due to the Delta variant) from April 13 to 15-20-third peak waves may last for several weeks.
Baseline for the peak in Ludhiana is 130 cases a day, “he added.
The doctor said data from South Africa suggested that the Omicron virus mainly affect those under the age of six years and over 60 years.
They communicate with the state government about the initial surge that has begun, He added.
Meanwhile, a specialist at CMC said it was expected that many people would be infected.
“Many people might be infected even because they might have mild symptoms.
Those who tend to be sick and have complications must be careful, especially those with comorbidity, allergies, on steroid drugs, among others.
Because Omicron is borne by air, someone needs to follow a distance of two meters, “said Dr.
Clarence Samuel, head of the Preventive and Social Medicine Department.
Experts say they cannot say exactly whether omikron that causes a surge.