New Delhi: Someone cannot conclude that the peak of the ongoing wave of Coronavirus pandemic ended in Delhi solely based on data on hospital admission, experts say Thursday because of the number of cases and the level of participants continue the trend of increases in the city.
Inpatient stays relatively low in Delhi, and Health Minister Satyendar Jain said on Wednesday that the highlands of hospital admission showed that the ongoing waves had peaked and cases could drop immediately.
However, according to epidemiological experts Dr.
Chandrakant Lahariya cannot be concluded that the peak is only basically based on hospital receipt data.
The reason is that people were received in hospitals only a few days after they developed the disease, he said.
“So, there is a 6-7 day pause.” “The number of daily cases and participants must be used to determine the peak.
Inpatient depends on the criteria adopted to enter (in certain regions).
Of course, hospitalization is an important parameter for public health planning purposes, but not to describe the peak “He said.
Director of the National Institute for Research on Implementation of non-contagious diseases, Jodhpur, Dr.
Arun Sharma said, “Epidemiologists, wave peaks are determined by the help of transmission levels, the number of infected and non-infected population.
It can be plotted on the chart but the reality of land is always different from modeling Epidemiologi.
“The level of prospitis is the most important factor because the number of cases can increase or decrease depending on the number of tests performed, he said.
“Only when the test level of the test starts to decline, we will know that we have passed its peak,” said Dr Sharma.
“In the case of omicron, most cases are mild and do not require hospitalization.
So, waves have peaked or cannot be determined to see the hospital receipt,” he added.
Jain has said on Wednesday, the highlands of hospital admission for the previous four days showing the ongoing waves have peaked and cases can go down immediately.
Dr Rajeev Jayadevan, Vice Chairman of the Research Cell Unit Kerala Medical Association India, said the number of hospital admissors was the best indicator of the ongoing wave of pandemic waves, but it was difficult to say whether the wave had peaked or not.
“In 2020, testing was carried out with the intention to find cases and isolate them.
Now, it’s impossible.
Everyone turns positive.
How much will we pursue on the road?” she says.
He said such exercises removed the workforce of a more urgent need.
“So, in the end what matters is how saturity is a hospital bed in an area, and also whether there is enough health workers to make health delivery.
Behind, the number of hospital admissions and the results will be the best indicator of how severe waves This.
” “The level of testicitivity test (TPR) depends on the willingness of advanced people for testing, the availability of testing (resources), which is tested, and the number of test results reported to the central database.
TPR in the same area can be followed for trends, But it cannot be compared between regions.
So, TPR is unreliable as a single parameter to decide on the strategy, “he said.
Delhi reported 22,751 infections on Sunday, 19,116 on Monday, 21,259 on Tuesday, and 27,561 on Wednesday.
The level of participation reached 23.5 percent on Sunday, 25 percent on Monday, 25.6 percent on Tuesday and 26.2 percent on Wednesday.