New Delhi: The central team of six members who visited eight Kerala District had said since August 1 to August 20, the state could witness around 4.6 cases of Lakh Covid-19.
The opening of the activity, approached the Onam festival (August 20) and reopened the scenario that challenged the pose of picism and it was the cause of concern, director of the National Disease Control Center (NCDC) Dr.
Sujeet Singh, who headed the Press Conference Central Team on Tuesday.
Kerala contributed more than half of the Covid-19 cases recorded in this country in the last seven days, the center said on Tuesday.
Singh said the country southern has recorded a high number of reinfections even after two doses of vaccines were given and the problem was being examined.
For example, 14,974 people were infected with a virus after receiving the first dose and 5.042 after being given a vaccine dose in Pathanamthitta (according to information shared by the district), he said.
According to reports submitted by the team, the level of covid-19 front is found more than 10 percent in all eight districts and in several places, found to increase.
More than 80 percent of these cases are Delta variants from viruses.
“Contact search turned out to be very low – 1: 1.2 to 1: 1.7 – and RT value, which is the lowest (0.8) on June 1, continues to increase with the current RT value of 1.2,” Singh said.
In addition to the NCDC director, the central multi-disciplinary team consists of Dr.
P Ravindran, former DDG, Dr.
Sk Jain, Advisor (PH), NCDC, DR K Tim, additional director, Kozhikode branch, NCDC, Dr.
Pranay Verma, Joint Director, NCDC, and Dr.
Ruchi Jain, public health specialist, regional office of the Ministry of Health and family welfare, Thiruvananthapuram.
“The current RT value of Kerala is 1.12.
Going with the current trend, it is expected that for the period 1 August to 20 August, the state can witness around 4.62 cases of lakh covid,” Singh said.
Teams visit Kasaragod, Kannur, Kozhikode, Malappuram, Alappuzha, Kollam, Pathanamthitta and ThiruvananthaThapuram district in Kerala.
During the visit, the team found that the detention zone (CZS) was not made according to central guidelines, and perimeter control and cordoning from CZS was not strict.
Also, there is no buffer zone that surrounds CZ, Singh said.
The level of positivity test (TPR) was found to range from 10 to 14 percent and in several regions, it was 15 to 20 percent.
TPR in Malappuram and Pathanamthitta showed an increasing trend.
As far as health infrastructure for Covid care, Singh said the occupancy rate of beds in the southern district was found in the range of 40 to 60 percent and in the northern district, it was 70 to 90 percent.
The occupancy rate of beds for ICU and the ventilator is quite high at 74 to 85 percent in the Malappuram district that is most affected, he added.
The occupancy rate of the bed is higher in the private sector and in accordance with the data available for May, June and July, 25-30 percent of deaths occur within 72 hours of hospitalization, said Singh.
Up to 80 percent cases are permitted to be in house isolation, but the guidelines for house isolation are not followed, the central team said.
“The absence of compliance with the isolation of suspect houses or cases and quarantine contacts resulted in the inability to contain infections.
High-house transmission, often causes a cluster,” Singh said.
The detention strategy relies on passive supervision and the pre-structured detention zone limit i.e.
Panchayats and law enforcement regarding the number of people who attend less social and religious meetings.
Singh said the prevalence of NCD was almost 30 percent and the prevalence of Sero was 44 percent, which meant 55 percent of the country’s population was still vulnerable.
There is a gap of around 20 percent between Kerala (44 percent) and all countries (65 to 70 percent).
There is a high proportion of parents in the population of Kerala because of high life expectancy, which contributes to a vulnerable collection.
In addition, there are substantial national and international migration.
Kerala can watch around 4.6 Covid Lakh case from August 1-20: Central Team
