Pune: Monsun may not start withdrawing from North Maharashtra from the normal date of October 5, the latest estimated range of the Indian Meteorology Department (IMD) shows.
According to the criteria of the IMD, three conditions complement the Monsun withdrawal.
This is the termination of rainfall activity in an area for five days continuously, the formation of anticyclone in the bottom troposphere, and a large reduction in water content over the region.
Anupam Kashyapi, Head of the weather, IMD Pune, said more rain in the store even in the first week of October, and so far it seems that the withdrawal of monsoons from Maharashtra parts may not start until then.
The normal date for Monsoon’s retreat from Mumbai and Pune is around 8-9 October.
According to the latest estimated range model, the Monsun trough tends to be active and close to normal, south of its position for almost every day of the week for 30 September – October 6.
Kashyapi said according to the estimated long distance, the South Center Madhya Maharashtra would likely get normal rain for 30 September October 6 period, while other states may get rain above normal.
Estimates of the IMD for the next two weeks said, “The low pressure area is likely to form the center of Bengal Bay during the first half of the week from September 30 to October 6.
Simply extensive for rainfall activities that are widespread with the fall of isolated waterfalls.
Very likely at Upper northwest and Central India for most of the day a week.
Overall the normal rainfall activity above is most likely during this period.
“Given the expected synoptic system for the next two weeks, the conditions cannot be beneficial for monsoons to start withdrawing from The northwestern part of India before the period 30 September to 6 October.
Kashyapi said this withdrawal might start from mid-30 September in the period of October 6.
Therefore, naturally can be delayed from Maharashtra too.