New Delhi: Monsoon has, so far, it is not good to northwest India where it may need seven more days to achieve, but has performed well in other parts and is likely to be ‘normal’ in the country as a whole in July.
Good rainfall from mid-July, especially during the third and fourth week, is expected to bridge the gap caused by the ‘phase of rest’.
Although the current Heatwave conditions in the northwest and side by side in Central India, including North Madhya Pradesh, will continue only for two more days, there will be no concession from uncomfortable conditions for the next seven days due to increased moisture.
“The average rainfall above the country as overall during July is likely to be normal (94 to 106% of the average period),” said M Mohapatra, Director General, the Indian Meteorology Department (IMD) on Thursday while releasing monthly Forecasts and spatial distribution maps of rainfall for this month.
IMD, however, estimates that rainfall conditions in northwestern India – Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, parts of Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh – will remain calm and the possibility of “under normal” this month.
In the condition of the Heatwave in these countries that will continue for the next 1-2 days, Mohapatra said, “It is likely to decline in the intensity and coverage of the area because of the south west wind from the Arab Sea.
However, due to increased moisture in relation to this wind, Human discomfort will continue for the next seven days.
“The spatial distribution of probabilistic estimates for July shows that the rainy season will also be ‘under normal’ in several parts of the South Peninsula, Central India and the Northeast.
But it will be “normal to the normal normal” in most countries – especially in the monsun core zone (rainfed irrigation area) – covers the parts of Central India and adjacent areas in Semenular India, and the gangetic plains spread in Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and West Bengal.
The spell of heavy rainfall over Bihar, East and above and the northeastern part can even cause flooding, local water puddles and traffic disturbances in certain districts during the first week of this month.
Although the current phase will slightly shift the operation of sowing in the northwest, it may not affect all plant kharif (summer) as a whole like rice and corn if the rain is taken from mid-July as expected.
“The delay, however, has affected the plant standing ‘Jowar’ (Sorghum) in northwestern India.
Farmers still have enough windows for rice and corn, but it will depend on how big Monsoon’s behavior from mid-July to August,” said Raj Singh deskwal, retired hydrological expert Central Air Commission (CWC), who knows the pattern of agriculture the region.
He noted that farmers can be prepared for this adverse situation when they go with “traditional wisdom and past experience” which shows that if the area becomes higher than normal rain in the early months, the overall monsoon rain will be very calm or below normal.
, Indeed, northwestern India accepts 14% higher rainfall than usual in June.
Even the overall country received rainfall ‘above normal’ on almost every day in June.