New Delhi: The proposed Uttar Pradesh population policy may promise to take care of all communities, but the direct side effects of disincentive under the policy will likely be felt by the poorest community in the most confiscated communities – scheduled tribes, caste schedules and Muslims – and direct benefits from That incentives can especially be rich among the top caste.
The draft of the proposed policy says offenders or those who have more than two children will be prohibited from carrying out local elections that fight, apply for government jobs or get subsidies under the government’s welfare scheme.
Government employees with more children than the norm will be banned from promotion.
The data available about the fertility rate shows that the burden of these punishment steps will be borne by less capable.
It is not surprising because it is well established in public health that the development of socio-economic is the largest determinant of fertility.
Data from the National Family Healthy Survey conducted in 2019-20 (NFHS-5) has not been released for Uttar Pradesh.
But go with the 2015-16 NFHS-4 data, the fertility rate (or the total number of children born from a woman) for all categories except “the other”, most of which are three or more.
The level of fertility of the Castes scheduled 3.1, from the tribes scheduled by 3.6, namely OBC 2.8 while for ‘other people’ it was 2.3.
The scheduled newspaper consists of around 21% of the country’s population and Muslims around 20%, while the scheduled tribe is 0.1% of the neglected population.
Religion-wise, Hindu fertility is 2.7 in 2015-16 and that Muslims are 3.1.
While fertility will drop slightly in all communities, because the total state fertility falls from 3.1 in 2016 to 2.9 in 2018 according to SRS data, relative differences will not change much.
NFHS-4 data about birth orders shows that the third highest birth proportion, fourth or higher children (61.5%) are among women without school.
It is greatly reduced by increasing female education level – 49% among women who have completed five schools, 36.4% among those who completed 5-9 years of school and around 25% among those who completed 10-11 years of school , The lowest proportion of the birth of the third or fourth child is among women who have completed 12 years of school, only 13%, reflects established findings so that fertility is reduced by increasing the level of education of parents, especially mothers.
UP is fifth from the bottom when it comes to literacy according to the latest 2017-18 National Statistics Office report with only 63.4% of female literacy.
Among religious groups, Muslims have the lowest literacy level, only 37% of Muslim women in the 2011 census.
Higher fertility has been established as a feature of poor socio-economic development or shortcomings.
This is borne by the proportion of women in different caste groups who have the third or fourth child in three years of ahead of NFHS.
It was 47% among the tribe, 46% among Dalit, 41% among OBC and 36.5% among ‘other people’.
It was more than 50% among Muslims, 39% among Hindus and nearly 15% among Sikh, the most prosperous among religious groups.