New Delhi: Supported by estimated Monsun’s rainfall ‘above normal’ in September, the Ministry of Meteorology India (IMD) on Wednesday estimates that overall seasonal rainfall (June-September) in the country as a whole tend to come out at “tip Normal under “.
The IMD has in June predicted “normal” (96-104% of the long period average) monsoon for the country at 101% of the average average period (LPA).
However, a large deficit of rainy season rainfall in August now, however, put it on “normal lower end” with 96% LPA.
LPA seasonal rainfall throughout the country as a whole for the period 1961-2010 is 88 cm.
Rainfall in the central part of the country tends to increase this month but northwestern and northeast India, and the southernmost part of Indian Peninsular may see rain “below normal to normal”.
The situation in Punjab, Haryana and West Uttar Pradesh may be more depressed, starting from the normal category below (90-96% LPA) this month.
Therefore, maybe, the overall drag of the monsoon to the “normal lower end” during the June-September period despite rainfall “above normal to normal” in Central India this month.
Rainfall in Gujarat and Odisha can continue to lack.
The average rainfall throughout the country as a whole during September is likely to be above normal (> 110% LPA).
The rainfall LPA during September based on data from 1961-2010 is around 170 mm.
“Given that the expected above normal rainfall activity during September, the current shortages of 9% in season rainfall during June to August are very likely to reduce and accumulate seasonal rainfall from June 1 to September 30, 2021 very likely to be around the lower end.
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Normal, “said Head of IMD, M Mohapatra, while releasing the update of the Monsun and estimates in September.
He said, “The forecast shows that above normal to normal rainfall is likely to be many regions in Central India.
Normal under normal rain is most likely in many northwestern areas and northeast India and the southern part in India.” Talking about the factors that can affect the rainfall of the rainy season during the remaining periods this season, said Mohapatra, “the latest global model estimates show that the neutral conditions of the Cool Enso applicable tend to continue above the equatorial Pacific Ocean and the negative iod conditions are the possibility of continuing On top of the Indian Ocean then.
” He said, “Like the condition of the sea surface (SST) over the Pacific and the Indian Ocean known to have a strong influence on the Indian monsoon, the IMD carefully monitors the evolution of the surface conditions above this ocean basin.” As far as sowing kharif plants (rice, sugar cane, cotton, oil seeds, and rough cereals), this year may not cross the figure of last year’s recording area, but certainly will log in above the sitting area ‘normal’ (an average of five years Finally) of 1073 lakh hectares (LH) because of the distribution of good rainfall from rainfall above the Maharashtra Rain area, Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh.
Overall the area on Friday has reached 1064 LH which was 34 LH more than the ‘normal’ (1030 LH) area of ​​the appropriate period.