Pune: Active Covid-19 curve can begin to flatten within three months in the area that records a recent increase if the Covid protocol is followed and if someone acts appropriately, said the Additional Director General of the Indian Medical Research Council, as Dr.
Samiran Panda, as a case Covid continues to increase exponentially in this country.
With Covid cases increased exponently in almost all states and total omicrons reaching more than 2700 with Maharashtra topping the count followed by Delhi, Rajasthan, Kerala, Karnataka, Gujarat, and Tamil Nadu, said that despite a sharp surge, the Covid curve would be flat by following Covid protocol, avoiding mass meetings and people must avoid unnecessary trips and use masks and the right country must increase vaccination.
“The projection that we have produced through modeling exercises shows that if omikron is dominant, it will rise sharply but it will fall within three months, ” said scientist.
He warned that some regions might not spread to ignore the increase that was recently observed By stating that Omicron is light and does not follow the Covid protocol.
“One must ensure to avoid meetings and use the mask,” he said.
He said that while the main metropolitan area had Omicron as the main variant, the area in the northeast was more than Delta so that one looked more A lot of pressure on the health system, unlike countries dominated by Omicron.
ICMR scientists believe that the country does not have a homogeneous epidemic representation.
“In the east and the dominant Northeast Delta, omicron dominant in these countries such as Maharashtra and Delhi are followed by others and population density with neglect of CO behavior The appropriate vid pushes the epidemic “he said.
He said that countries have been directed to prepare state special actions after analyzing state-specific data critically.
“We need to appreciate that the number of individuals infected with higher omicrons will lead to a large number of people who need institutional care even though it is estimated that the proportion of infected individuals who need such care will look small.
Because it’s careful,” he said with circumstances.
Asked to see data carefully, ICMR felt that every state and each district had to see the data and try to graphically represent them to find out where the epidemic stage or epidemic wave they entered.
“The country as a whole is not in one stage of the uniform and the examination of the state divided data can determine which phase of each country entered and we cannot consider the entire country to be in certain waves, ” it is clear.
Data has shown that in some Omicron countries change delta When in several other states, Delta which is still dominant and this heterogeneous distribution must be considered to project the impact of UPSUR recently observed GE in SARS-COV-2 infection in various countries on the health system.
As observed in the community where omicron distribution is less than delta, the impact will be more on the health system because the level of clinical severity encountered in individuals infected with the Delta variant is more than in Omicron.
However, the Delta effect levels if there is a good use of vaccination and it is a combination of many factors such as the protocol covid, avoidance of mass collection, and per The dependents of non-essential trips and vaccinations in circumstances that will determine the form of epidemics in certain circumstances declare ICMR scientists.
In the DCGI agreed Omicron detected the RT-PCR testing kit developed in partnership with Tata and ICMR, scientists said that kits helped the state to contain the spread of omicron, because it helped detect cases easily to add to the sequencing effort of the genome, added scientists.