Stockholm: Nobel Economic Prize on Monday wrapped the Nobel season which was marked by a surprising picks, with a number of women with the opportunity to reap gifts dominated by men traditionally.
Macroeconomics, the health market and labor are some of the favorite topics in front of the announcement, according to experts interviewed by AFP.
The gift later this year, officially Sveriges Riksbank (Swedish Central Bank) gifts in economics in Memory Alfred Nobel, will be announced at 11:45 (0945 GMT).
The Nobel season, only one woman who won – Philippine journalist Maria Ressa won peace prize on Friday – while economic gifts so far only given to two women in history, Elinor Ostrom in 2009 and Esther Duflo in 2019.
American Anne Krueger , Previous number two and briefly the executive director at the International Monetary Fund (IMF), as well as a former vice president for the economy and research at the World Bank, is one possible winner.
At the age of 87, he was also “getting older, who is usually not deformed when it comes to winning the Nobel Prize”, Mikael Dahlen, a professor in marketing at School of Economics Stockholm, told AFP.
Claudia Goldin’s compatriot, whose research focuses on women’s inequality and labor, is another favorite to be the third woman to receive gifts.
The winner of other potential women is fellow Janet Currie, known for the impact of the government’s anti-poverty program in children, or economists of Belgian workers Marianne Bertrand and American Microeconomics Susan Athey, who is the first woman to win John Bates Clark who is a prestigious medal in 2007.
However, as did Nobels, it accurately predicts the winner is a challenge because there are a large number of economists to choose from.
“There are around 250-300 serious candidates,” Hubert Fraglet, a professor affiliated with the University of Linnaeus in Sweden, wrote in a paper that predicts potential winners.
Given that the entire selection process, including nominations, has occurred during the Covid-19 pandemic, Dahlen said it would also be “very topical” to focus on an economist like Paul Slovic.
Slovic is a professor of psychology at Oregon University who has seen how people weigh the risk, and introduce the concept of “psychic numbness”, indifference that can be regulated when people are faced with extraordinary disasters.
It could also be time to shine in the field of macroeconomics, especially considering the economic downfall of the pandemic, and the historical policy of central banks throughout the world even before Covid-19.
For Dahlen, a pioneer will become Roger W.
Garrison.
According to Clarive, which maintains a list of potential Nobel Prize winners, other macroeconomic potential that can be respected is Nobuhiro Kiyotaki Japan and writing partners at Times John Moore from England.
In the context of the financial crisis, American Douglas Diamond has also been quoted as a potential candidate.
Another economist mentioned believed to be running is Israel-America Joshua Angrist, a professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) which is an economic experts of labor and economic education and who also contributed to the field.
From Econometrics, it has the potential to be together with Canadian Workers’ economists David Card.
France economist Olivier Blanchard, former chief economist at the IMF, and Thomas Piketty, who rose to stand out with his book “Capital in the twenty-first century,” also attracted attention.
But there is no disagreement about the conclusion of Piketty, it will be a “controversial choice”, according to Fritlet.
Last year, the honor went to US economists Paul Milgrom and Robert Wilson for their work on auction theory and created a new auction format.
Economic gifts are the only prize that is not among the five set by Alfred Nobel’s will, who died in 1896.
It was even created through donations from the Swedish central bank in 1968, and thus sad “wrong.” False Nobel “.
The prize will close 2021 the Nobel season, which has so far seen peace gifts given to Ressa, who is also US citizens, and fellow Dmitry Muratov journalists from Russia.
The literature prize is won by the novelist born in Tanzania Abdulrazak Gurnah.
Medical gifts, Opening this week, go to US scientists David Julius and Ardem Patapoutian for discovery on receptors for temperature and touch.
Chemical gifts go to the Benjamin German list and Scotland-American David Macmillan for their work on the catalyst.
For the first time, physics gifts went to two Climate scientists, Japanese-American scientists Syukuro Manabe and Klaus Hasselmann from Germany, with the second half of the prize will go to Giorgio Parisi from Italy.