LONDON: The end of the Covid-19 pandemic in England could have been a month away because the vaccine has dramatically reduced the risk of severe disease and death, the epidemiology of the empire Neil Ferguson said on Tuesday.
But, he said, a recent decline in everyday case still needs to be watched carefully.
Prime Minister Boris Johnson bets that he can get one of the largest economies in Europe again because so many people are now vaccinated, the decision marks a new round in a global response to the Coronavirus novel.
The number of new Daily Covid-19 cases has fallen every day for the past six days, even though Johnson has emphasized the pandemic does not end.
“We are not entirely out of the forest but the equation has changed fundamentally,” Ferguson, who was the beginning of 2020 virus modeling possibilities spread that worried the government throughout the world at the beginning of the pandemic, told the BBC.
“The effects of vaccines are very large in reducing the risk of hospitalization and death and, I think, I have positively that at the end of September, October time we will look back at most pandemics.” British Covid-19 data showed a surge in previous infection in July so far did not cause a major increase in death, which fell to only 14 on Monday, although the number of Covid-19 patients in British hospitals has increased to 5,238.
School closure for summer holidays, the end of the Euro 2020 soccer championship and warmer weather is one of the epidemiological factors that is said to have reduced social mixing in the room and therefore cases, even when the British economy has been fully reopened.
Johnson’s decision raised the rules in the UK on July 19 to restart the damaged economy by a series of Lockdown on-off since March 2020.
If paid off, the English example can offer a way out of Pandemi, even though Johnson gambling can slip with the possibility of the appearance of a variant that is able to fight the vaccine – Or if sick people flood health services.
England has one of the highest official deaths in the world, 129,460, despite new daily cases, which in the current wave peaked at 54,674 on July 17, has fallen to 24,950 on Monday.
The case number has fallen longer in Scotland, where the peak recently in case on July 1 compared to the UK, according to the previous elimination of the euro.
“From a sports perspective …
Scotland goes far too early, but in epidemiologically that might make us some favor,” said Scottish National Clinical Director Jason Leitch.