Lucknow: Chasing Covid-19 Prevention and Vaccination as the only reliable weapon against Covid-19, Prof.
Manindra Agarwal from the Indian Technology Institute (IIT-K) on Monday said big cities like Delhi, Mumbai and Kolkata are almost a week Far from the top of the third wave of Coronavirus Pandemi.
On the basis of its findings in the preliminary data assessed under the silk model, Prof.
Agarwal said: “The numbers showed that the peak in Delhi, Mumbai and Kolkata were estimated to be around January 15.
But the peak for the whole country was expected between January.
– And the first week of February .
“He said despite the calculation for ongoing, the peak was expected in the last week of January.
The 3rd wave to subside in mid-March, said IIT Kanpur Experthe said: “There is an indication that India can report about eight cases of lakh a day.
We hope the third wave will subside by midmarch.” Silk (vulnerable, not detected, tested (positive) , and removed the approach) is a math model that tracks the Covid-19 pandemic curve.
Adequate input data helps predict a pandemic wave pattern called policy makers for detention and compliance purposes.
Prof.
Agarwal says carefully is a must but does not need to panic.
“The waves will rise quickly and subside quickly.
This means that while no need to panic, prevention measures are very important,” he said.
“Our guess for the peak value of Mumbai is around 30,000-60,000 cases per day (based on an average of seven days).
This looks big but since around 3.
5% of patients need hospitalization, one can believe that the requirements for the bed at the top of the peak will be around 10,000 that must be managed, “he added.
Speaking of Delhi, Prof.
Agarwal said the pandemic would bring up basic capital around January 15.
“Delhi is likely to report 35,000-70,000 cases per day (based on an average value of seven days) at the peak.
This translates to a requirement of around 12,000 beds,” he said.
Asked about the possibility of increasing the increase in public activity during the election of the pace of pandemic, he said: “Great general meetings during the election will naturally contribute to a surge.
But that is not the only reason for a surge.
We can say this because we get similar results while comparing The results of the inboth thescenarios – with and without election.
However, all precautions must be taken in public interest.
“