Ludhiana: Calculation by Christian Medical College and Hospital (CMCH) shows that there is a possibility of the third wave of Covid in the last week of September.
However, the findings show that it might be delayed in Ludhiana if 70% of people who meet the requirements of immunized and people follow the appropriate behavior of Covid.
The CMCH preventive and social treatment department projects numbers based on mathematical calculations from data available in several times.
A doctor who was involved in the work, who did not want to reveal his identity, said, “The calculation shows that Ludhiana Regency can witness the third surge in the last week of September or the first week of October.
It might arrive even before the predicted time, depending on the behavior of the people.
If the department Health is able to vaccinate 70% of people who meet the requirements, the waves can be postponed by four to six months.
Apart from regular vaccination, we have suggested to autoculate students, especially those who have co-morbidity, because the Institute can be opened by the exam .
We also advise the authorities to get teachers and staff who do not teach.
“CMCH officials said that the authorities strictly enforced wearing masks and maintaining social distance, the peak might be delayed.
Baseline for Ludhiana District is 130, and once everyday case crosses this number, it shows that “we move towards the wave”.
“As the number of people who are vaccinated, especially those who have received the first dose, have crossed 1 million and those infected with developing antibodies, the third wave may not be as bad as the second,” said the doctor, adding vaccination to reduce the severity of the disease.
Dr.
Clarence Samuel, Head of the Department of Preventive Department and Social Medicine, is said to delay the third wave, people must stab and follow the appropriate behavior of Covid, such as wearing masks, handing hands regularly, maintaining social blasphemy and practicing cough etomettes.
The highest number of cases cases, the highest number of cases reported in Ludhiana in September 16, when 562 infected the second wave, the highest number of people (1,729) from the district has been tested positively in May 9 the highest active case the number of active cases during the first wave The highest on August 22 last year at 3,867 and during the second wave on May 16 was 13,217.