Because the Covid-19 case increased in a worrying manner, a general question arose: Is the infection aggressiveness increased or has increased optimally and slowly ebbing? If not, when will it go? When can we expect it to be lost completely?
Experts say the country is currently in the grip of the mercy of the third wave of Covid-19 and this will begin to decline from the beginning of the following month.
IIT Kanpur Professor Manindra Agrawal, who has tracked the Covid-19 curve in this country using a silk model, said India would witness the peak in the case of Covid-19 infection around January 15 and the maximum number of larger cases of Delhi, Mumbai and Kolkata.
At present, Delhi reports more than 22,000 cases per day and according to research conducted by Professor IIT, the number of cases will rise to almost 40,000 cases per day at its peak which is estimated to reach mid-January.
Active when cases will subside, the agrawal professor said, “We hope the decline is also sharp and if the peak hit in January, then in mid-March, the wave will end.” The study did not agree that the election demonstration was a super spreader of the virus.
“If you see only the election demonstration as a cause of spread, it’s wrong.
Many things called the distribution and demonstration of selection are just one of them.
And if someone believes that just by stopping the demonstration of the election, you will stop the spread.
It is not true,” he said to the office News Ani.
A research study of Surge Covid-19 conducted by researchers at the Indian Science Institute (IISC) and the Indian Statistics Institute (ISI) has strengthened the study of the Agrawal Professor who describes its peak and decrease in Covid.
According to the report, IISC researchers and the contents claim that the current surge in the Covid-19 case throughout the country will begin to decline next month, although it will vary from the state to the country.
They also said that the Covid curve of the current case will average in March or April and during the top of the country will see more than 8 daily cases of lakh.
In hospital requirements, which has brought chaos during the second wave, these researchers have said that in the worst scenario, only if 100% of the total population of the country is susceptible to Covid, the terms of the hospital can rise to 4 lakh per.
The day and ICU needs can pass 20,000.
On disbelievable violence from the third wave of Himanshu Sikka, it has told the media, “there is an increase in evidence of omicron-based community transmission.
In the next few weeks we can see the increasing number dramatically and can reach one million positive cases per day by the end of the month .
“He was associated with Global Ipe, an international health development consultant.
“The third wave is close but the combination of past exposure, level of climbing vaccination coverage, and low-reported omicon infection rates must be expected on more muted problems than we see during the second wave.
I see no reason why the waves are driven by omicron in India It will be more dangerous than in other countries, “Laxminarayan’s professor, Director of the Center for Dynamics of Disease based in Washington, Economics and Policy has notified the media.
In front of the hospital, India is reported to be better equipped and prepared than during the second wave.
Many other experts also focused on the decline in Covid cases from February and sharp peaks around mid-January.
To curb the spread of Coronavirus, the state government in the country has imposed restrictions on people’s movements during weekends and holidays.
India on Thursday reported 2,47,417 new Covid cases, which was highest since May.
The state omicron calculation now stands at 5,488.
