Mumbai: The third Covid-19 wave opportunity appears far below the “current situation” with only Delta and its derivatives as a major SARS-COV-2 variant in continuous circulation and weekly caselles, according to experts.
“We need to forget the third wave for now.
If it appears, it will be the mid or final quarter next year,” said Dr.
T Jacob John, retired head of the Clinical and Microbiology Virology Department, Christian Medical College (Vellore).
“The epidemic in India has turned to the endemic phase,” he added.
At the end of August, who the Head of Scientist Dr.
Soumya Swaminathan said India entered the “stage of endemicity”.
Dr.
Shashank Joshi, a member of the Covid Country Task Force, said: “No one can predict the third wave time.
If the newly interested variant appears, it cannot be ruled out.” He believed “another disruption of ” possibility, especially among young people Under 30 years.
Dr.
Giridhar Babu, epidemiology with the Indian Community Health Foundation, said: “The waves can occur only if there is a large accumulation of vulnerable individuals.
It takes time for this accumulation at the state or national level.
“In the point, John explained that the average moving seven days of Covid’s case in India has been below 50,000 for 16 weeks ‘, For the Indian Pediatric Academy on Tuesday.
He quoted a calculation based on the’ virus reproduction ‘that showed 450 million Indians may be infected during the first wave and 830 million in the second wave.
The remaining 150 million are children, who can Appearing as a covid reservoir, he added.
India has been able to vaccinate less than 30% of the adult population.
“So, we can say we have reached the endemic stage not due to vaccination, but because of natural infection,” John said.
Reach the endemic stage is not the end From Covid.
“We are at the endemic stage for the long term.
No need to be strict restrictions as worn during the previous waves, “he said.
Education, economics and livelihoods need to be restored.” Schools should not be closed because a case is detected because around 90% of Indians have been exposed to the virus, “he added.
Babu said there were several areas Where vaccination and infection are low.
“This is vulnerable.
Maybe we will see a small lump here and there, every now.
“
‘The third wave opportunity in the current situation is far away’
